Romania Liga 2 · Round 13 ·

Our picks

Backtest
Over/under 2.5 ★ Best pick
Over 2.5 goals
65% Strong
Odds at publication: 1.53 Market 64% · model 69%
Won Backtest
Both teams to score
Both teams to score: Yes
63% Strong
Odds at publication: 1.59 Market 60% · model 70%
Won Backtest
Match result
CSM Râmnicu Vâlcea win
54% Lean
Odds at publication: 1.50 Market 60% · model 35%
Won Backtest

4 more picks in other markets are listed under "Every market" below.

Our probabilities

Expected goals 1.85 – 1.71
Match result
1 24% Draw 22% 2 54%
Over / under 2.5 goals
Over 65% Under 35%
Both teams to score
Yes 63% No 37%

Every market

7 picks, all outcomes with market and model probabilities
MarketOutcomeMarketModelBest oddsBooksOur pick
Match result CS Dinamo București win 18% 41% 5.30 7
Draw 21% 23% 4.33 7
CSM Râmnicu Vâlcea win 60% 35% 1.60 7 Lean · 54%
Double chance CS Dinamo București or draw 20% 65% 2.50 5
CS Dinamo București or CSM Râmnicu Vâlcea 40% 77% 1.20 5 Toss-up · 39%
Draw or CSM Râmnicu Vâlcea 41% 59% 1.17 5
Over/under 1.5 Over 1.5 goals 84% 88% 1.15 2 Strong · 85%
Under 1.5 goals 16% 12% 6.50 2
Over/under 2.5 Over 2.5 goals 64% 69% 1.53 6 Strong · 65%
Under 2.5 goals 36% 31% 2.75 6
Over/under 3.5 Over 3.5 goals 44% 48% 2.20 5
Under 3.5 goals 56% 52% 1.66 5 Lean · 55%
Both teams to score Both teams to score: Yes 60% 70% 1.59 5 Strong · 63%
Both teams to score: No 40% 30% 2.38 5
Result & goals 2.5 CS Dinamo București win & over 2.5 12% 32% 7.00 1
CS Dinamo București win & under 2.5 6% 9% 14.00 1
Draw & over 2.5 9% 10% 9.00 1
Draw & under 2.5 12% 13% 7.00 1
CSM Râmnicu Vâlcea win & over 2.5 44% 27% 1.91 1 Lean · 40%
CSM Râmnicu Vâlcea win & under 2.5 17% 8% 5.00 1

Scoreline model

H \ A012345
0 4 4 4 2 1 0
1 5 10 8 4 2 1
2 5 8 7 4 2 1
3 3 5 4 3 1 0
4 1 2 2 1 0 0
5 1 1 1 0 0 0
Most likely scorelines
Home 1 – 1 Away9.7%
Home 2 – 1 Away8.3%
Home 1 – 2 Away7.7%
Home 2 – 2 Away7.1%
Home 3 – 1 Away5.1%
Home 2 – 0 Away4.9%

Expected goals 3.56. Independent Poisson with a Dixon-Coles low-score correction, strengths from this season's results. The model carries 25% of the final probability; the market consensus carries the rest.

Odds comparison

Last refreshed 35 minutes ago
Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5UnderBTTS yesBTTS no
bet365 4.75 4.10 1.50 1.53 2.37 – –
Pinnacle 5.16 4.31 1.52 1.45 2.61 – –
Betfair 5.00 4.20 1.47 1.40 2.75 1.50 2.38
Marathonbet 5.30 4.10 1.45 1.43 2.46 1.53 2.24
BetVictor 5.00 4.33 1.50 1.44 2.60 1.50 2.38
William Hill 4.80 4.20 1.50 – – 1.53 2.38
1xBet 4.71 4.29 1.60 1.45 2.62 1.59 2.28

Best match-result price per outcome is highlighted. Prices are pre-match and move.

Form

Last matches, all competitions

Head to head

0 previous meetings in our database
These teams have not met in the period we cover.

Liga 2 table

Competition page
#Team PWDL GFGAGDPts Form
1 Chindia Târgovişte 131003 3415+19 30 W W W W W W
2 ASU Poli Timişoara 13850 2310+13 29 W D W W D D
3 CSM Slatina 13913 2112+9 28 W L W L L W
4 Popești-Leordeni 13832 2920+9 27 L W W W W L
5 Concordia Chiajna 13814 3319+14 25 L L W D W W
6 CSM Reșița 13814 1713+4 25 W W L L W D
7 Metalul Buzău 13733 1610+6 24 W W D W L W
8 Cetatea Suceava 13643 2517+8 22 D W W W D L
9 Gloria Bistrita 13706 1816+2 21 L W L W L W
10 Metaloglobus 13634 1816+2 21 W L D W W W
11 FC Bacău 13544 2415+9 19 D L W L L D
12 Bihor Oradea 13544 2013+7 19 L W W W D L
13 Afumaţi 13535 2021-1 18 W W L L L D
14 CSM Râmnicu Vâlcea 13526 1621-5 17 W L L L W W
15 Unirea Slobozia 13427 1715+2 14 L W L D W W
16 CSA Steaua Bucureşti 13256 1421-7 11 W D D W D L
17 ASA Târgu Mureş 13328 1427-13 11 W L L L L L
18 CSM Satu Mare 13166 917-8 9 L D D L W L
19 Viitorul Şelimbăr 13238 824-16 9 L L L W L L
20 Stefanesti 133010 929-20 9 L L L L L W
21 CS Dinamo București 13229 1835-17 8 L D W L D L
22 Dumbrăviţa 13049 926-17 4 L L L L D L