Track record
Every pick, graded. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.
Each pick is published before kick-off with the odds of that moment and graded after full time. The hit rate is always printed next to the hit rate it would need just to break even at those odds.
Backtest. The published method applied to past matches at the last odds available before kick-off, graded exactly like the live picks. It shows how the method behaves over a large sample; the live record is the one that grows from the launch date.
Same matches, different ways to pick
Click a row to open that selection| Selection | Picks | Won | Hit rate | Break-even | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All picks | 37310 | 21502 | 57.6% | 52.7% | 1.90 |
| Best pick per match | 2145 | 1534 | 71.5% | 71.1% | 1.41 |
| Strong 1X2 | 1003 | 772 | 77.0% | 73.9% | 1.35 |
| Double chance | 4194 | 3397 | 81.0% | 81.0% | 1.23 |
| Recommended goal line | 4219 | 3199 | 75.8% | 68.6% | 1.46 |
Best pick: the most probable selection of a match across match result, total goals and both teams to score, when it clears 60%. Strong 1X2: match-result picks at 60% or more. Double chance: the most likely two-outcome cover. Recommended goal line: one over/under line per match, where our probability beats the odds-implied one by the most. A higher hit rate comes with shorter odds, which is why the break-even column sits next to it.
Best pick per match
Backtest on past matchesHit rate
71.5%
Break-even at these odds: 71.1%
Won / lost
1534 / 611
Graded on the 90-minute score
Average odds
1.41
Recorded at publication
Average probability
67.8%
Our published probability on the picks
Picks
2145
0 void, not counted
Pending
57
Live picks awaiting full time
Won and lost by day
Last 60 days, by kick-off dayWon 1169Lost 451
By month
| Month | Picks | Won | Lost | Hit rate | Break-even | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 | 503 | 358 | 145 | 71.2% | 71.7% | 1.40 |
| Oct 2026 | 1117 | 811 | 306 | 72.6% | 70.8% | 1.41 |
| Oct 2024 | 465 | 322 | 143 | 69.2% | 70.9% | 1.41 |
| Sep 2024 | 600 | 416 | 184 | 69.3% | 70.4% | 1.42 |
| Aug 2024 | 577 | 398 | 179 | 69.0% | 71.1% | 1.41 |
By market
| Market | Picks | Won | Lost | Hit rate | Break-even | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 1275 | 991 | 284 | 77.7% | 74.6% | 1.34 |
| Over/under | 1176 | 802 | 374 | 68.2% | 69.7% | 1.44 |
| Both teams to score | 811 | 512 | 299 | 63.1% | 67.4% | 1.48 |
By confidence
| Confidence | Picks | Won | Lost | Hit rate | Break-even | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strong | 2733 | 1990 | 743 | 72.8% | 72.3% | 1.38 |
| Lean | 529 | 315 | 214 | 59.5% | 64.7% | 1.55 |
By odds band
ProBy competition
ProLatest settled picks
| Kick-off | Published | Match | Pick | Prob. | Odds | Close | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| backtest | SL Benfica W v Austria Wien W UEFA Women's Champions League · 3-1 | ★ SL Benfica W win | 61% | 1.50 | 1.50 | Won | |
| backtest | Chambéry Savoie v Grenoble Foot 38 Coupe de France · 0-2 | ★ Grenoble Foot 38 win | 75% | 1.27 | 1.27 | Won | |
| backtest | Navalcarnero v Real Betis Copa Del Rey · 2-2 | ★ Real Betis win | 86% | 1.08 | 1.08 | Lost | |
| backtest | Tarancón v Levante Copa Del Rey · 1-1 | ★ Levante win | 81% | 1.16 | 1.16 | Lost | |
| backtest | Barcelona W v Arsenal W UEFA Women's Champions League · 1-1 | ★ Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 1.22 | 1.22 | Lost | |
| backtest | Malta v Eswatini Friendly International · 1-1 | ★ Malta win | 63% | 1.48 | 1.48 | Lost | |
| backtest | Calvo Sotelo v Albacete Copa Del Rey · 0-3 | ★ Albacete win | 60% | 1.53 | 1.53 | Won | |
| backtest | Lithuania v Suriname Friendly International · 0-0 | ★ Under 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.53 | 1.53 | Won | |
| backtest | Young Boys v Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Club Friendlies 3 · 0-0 | ★ Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 1.25 | 1.25 | Lost | |
| backtest | VfL Wolfsburg v FC Union Berlin Club Friendlies 3 · 2-0 | ★ Both teams to score: Yes | 67% | 1.45 | 1.45 | Lost | |
| backtest | Borussia Mönchengladbach v Standard Liège Club Friendlies 3 · 1-0 | ★ Borussia Mönchengladbach win | 61% | 1.55 | 1.55 | Won | |
| backtest | DSC Arminia Bielefeld v Meppen Club Friendlies 3 · 2-1 | ★ Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.40 | 1.40 | Won | |
| backtest | Hannover 96 v Havelse Club Friendlies 3 · 6-1 | ★ Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | 1.25 | Won | |
| backtest | RB Leipzig v Mladá Boleslav Club Friendlies 3 · 4-5 | ★ RB Leipzig win | 77% | 1.25 | 1.25 | Lost | |
| backtest | Górnik Zabrze v Polonia Bytom Club Friendlies 3 · 6-0 | ★ Górnik Zabrze win | 72% | 1.29 | 1.29 | Won | |
| backtest | New Zealand v India Friendly International · 5-0 | ★ New Zealand win | 76% | 1.18 | 1.18 | Won | |
| backtest | Juventus W v OL Lyonnes W UEFA Women's Champions League · 0-6 | ★ OL Lyonnes W win | 84% | 1.12 | 1.12 | Won | |
| backtest | Real Valladolid v Santa Clara Club Friendlies 3 · 2-2 | ★ Both teams to score: Yes | 60% | 1.57 | 1.57 | Won | |
| backtest | OH Leuven W v Køge UEFA Women's Champions League · 1-1 | ★ Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.65 | 1.65 | Lost | |
| backtest | SC Wiedenbrück v Preußen Münster II Club Friendlies 3 · 2-5 | ★ Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.40 | 1.40 | Won | |
| backtest | Fleury 91 W v Toulouse W Premiere Ligue Women · 7-0 | ★ Fleury 91 W win | 69% | 1.36 | 1.36 | Won | |
| backtest | Vietnam v Chinese Taipei Friendly International · 2-0 | ★ Vietnam win | 86% | 1.09 | 1.09 | Won | |
| backtest | Tavernes v Valencia Copa Del Rey · 0-6 | ★ Over 2.5 goals | 96% | 1.01 | 1.01 | Won | |
| backtest | Roma W v Servette Chênois W UEFA Women's Champions League · 2-1 | ★ Roma W win | 79% | 1.18 | 1.18 | Won | |
| backtest | Inter Milano W v Manchester City W UEFA Women's Champions League · 1-4 | ★ Manchester City W win | 67% | 1.40 | 1.40 | Won | |
| backtest | Paris SG W v FC Bayern München W UEFA Women's Champions League · 1-2 | ★ Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.44 | 1.44 | Won | |
| backtest | Trival Valderas v Leganés Copa Del Rey · 0-1 | ★ Leganés win | 83% | 1.14 | 1.14 | Won | |
| backtest | Anaitasuna FT v Deportivo Alavés Copa Del Rey · 1-6 | ★ Deportivo Alavés win | 89% | 1.05 | 1.05 | Won | |
| backtest | Pamplona v SD Eibar Copa Del Rey · 0-3 | ★ SD Eibar win | 73% | 1.28 | 1.28 | Won | |
| backtest | Häcken W v Chelsea W UEFA Women's Champions League · 0-0 | ★ Chelsea W win | 82% | 1.18 | 1.18 | Lost | |
| backtest | Real Madrid W v Paris W UEFA Women's Champions League · 3-0 | ★ Real Madrid W win | 69% | 1.33 | 1.33 | Won | |
| backtest | Aurora v Universitario de Vinto Liga De Futbol Prof · 1-1 | ★ Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.57 | 1.57 | Lost | |
| backtest | Plymouth Parkway v Berkhamsted FA Cup · 1-1 | ★ Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.57 | 1.57 | Lost | |
| backtest | Kristiansund v Vålerenga Eliteserien · 1-0 | ★ Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.36 | 1.36 | Lost | |
| backtest | Atletico Madrid W v FC Badalona Women Liga F Moeve · 3-0 | ★ Atletico Madrid W win | 76% | 1.20 | 1.20 | Won | |
| backtest | CS Dinamo București v CSM Râmnicu Vâlcea Liga 2 · 2-3 | ★ Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 | 1.53 | Won | |
| backtest | Zakynthos v Niki Volos Super League 2 · 0-2 | ★ Niki Volos win | 68% | 1.30 | 1.30 | Won | |
| backtest | Universitario v UCV Moquegua Primera Division · 2-2 | ★ Universitario win | 75% | 1.20 | 1.20 | Lost | |
| backtest | Deportivo Garcilaso v Comerciantes Unidos Primera Division · 0-0 | ★ Deportivo Garcilaso win | 62% | 1.50 | 1.50 | Lost | |
| backtest | Chattanooga v Los Angeles FC 2 MLS Next Pro · 1-0 | ★ Both teams to score: Yes | 61% | 1.53 | 1.53 | Lost | |
| backtest | Goiás v Ponte Preta Serie B · 1-0 | ★ Goiás win | 83% | 1.10 | 1.10 | Won | |
| backtest | Club Bolívar v The Strongest Liga De Futbol Prof · 1-0 | ★ Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.36 | 1.36 | Lost | |
| backtest | Estrela Amadora v Benfica Liga Portugal · 2-3 | ★ Benfica win | 78% | 1.22 | 1.22 | Won | |
| backtest | Rio Ave v Sporting Braga Liga Portugal · 0-1 | ★ Sporting Braga win | 61% | 1.53 | 1.53 | Won | |
| backtest | Cerro Porteño v Deportivo Recoleta Division 1 · 1-1 | ★ Cerro Porteño win | 66% | 1.30 | 1.30 | Lost | |
| backtest | Atlético de Madrid v FC Barcelona La Liga · 1-2 | ★ Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 1.33 | 1.33 | Won | |
| backtest | Lens v Olympique Marseille Ligue 1 · 1-2 | ★ Both teams to score: Yes | 63% | 1.53 | 1.53 | Won | |
| backtest | Lech Poznań v Zagłębie Lubin Ekstraklasa · 2-2 | ★ Lech Poznań win | 64% | 1.48 | 1.48 | Lost | |
| backtest | Santa Fe v Deportivo Pasto Liga BetPlay · 5-0 | ★ Santa Fe win | 83% | 1.04 | 1.04 | Won | |
| backtest | Olympiacos F.C. v PAOK Super League · 1-1 | ★ Olympiacos F.C. win | 61% | 1.55 | 1.55 | Lost | |
| backtest | FC Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen Eredivisie · 2-3 | ★ Both teams to score: Yes | 68% | 1.40 | 1.40 | Won | |
| backtest | TSG Hoffenheim v Schalke 04 Bundesliga · 2-1 | ★ TSG Hoffenheim win | 61% | 1.53 | 1.53 | Won | |
| backtest | Würzburger Kickers v Hoffenheim II 3. Liga · 0-1 | ★ Both teams to score: Yes | 64% | 1.44 | 1.44 | Lost | |
| backtest | Fredrikstad v Brann Eliteserien · 2-2 | ★ Both teams to score: Yes | 66% | 1.40 | 1.40 | Won | |
| backtest | Sint-Truiden v Zulte-Waregem Pro League · 4-1 | ★ Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 1.50 | 1.50 | Won | |
| backtest | KSC Lokeren v Dender Challenger Pro League · 2-2 | ★ Both teams to score: Yes | 61% | 1.50 | 1.50 | Won | |
| backtest | Beşiktaş v Gençlerbirliği Super Lig · 3-0 | ★ Beşiktaş win | 78% | 1.16 | 1.16 | Won | |
| backtest | Vasas v Ferencvárosi NB I · 0-2 | ★ Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.50 | 1.50 | Lost | |
| backtest | Universidad Chile v Cobresal Primera Division · 2-1 | ★ Universidad Chile win | 76% | 1.22 | 1.22 | Won | |
| backtest | Vitória Guimarães v Porto Liga Portugal · 1-2 | ★ Porto win | 63% | 1.48 | 1.48 | Won |