Brazil Serie B · Round 27 ·
Our picks
No prediction was published before kick-off for this match.
Our probabilities
Expected goals 1.35 – 0.62No probabilities yet for this match.
Scoreline model
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Most likely scorelines
FOR 1 – 0 Away17.9%
FOR 0 – 0 Away14.8%
FOR 2 – 0 Away12.7%
FOR 1 – 1 Away12.6%
FOR 2 – 1 Away7.9%
FOR 0 – 1 Away7.7%
Expected goals 1.97. Independent Poisson with a Dixon-Coles low-score correction, strengths from this season's results. The model carries 25% of the final probability; the market consensus carries the rest.
Form
Last matches, all competitions
Fortaleza
W
D
W
D
D
- League
- 5th · 62 pts from 37
- Record
- 16-14-7, goals 44:33
- Home
- 9-8-1, goals 27:16
Avaí
L
L
W
W
W
- League
- 17th · 40 pts from 37
- Record
- 11-7-19, goals 35:47
- Away
- 4-2-12, goals 16:28
Head to head
0 previous meetings in our database
These teams have not met in the period we cover.
Serie B table
Competition page| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Novorizontino
|
37 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 66 | 32 | +34 | 70 | W W D W W W |
| 2 |
Juventude
|
37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 49 | 26 | +23 | 68 | W D D W D W |
| 3 |
Vila Nova
|
37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 53 | 38 | +15 | 66 | D W D L D W |
| 4 |
Criciúma
|
37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 38 | 31 | +7 | 62 | L W W L W L |
| 5 |
Fortaleza
|
37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 44 | 33 | +11 | 62 | W D W D D L |
| 6 |
CRB
|
37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 57 | 51 | +6 | 58 | W D L W L W |
| 7 |
Goiás
|
37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 58 | W W D W W W |
| 8 |
Atlético GO
|
37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 45 | 35 | +10 | 58 | L D D L D W |
| 9 |
Sport Recife
|
37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 50 | 42 | +8 | 55 | W D L W D L |
| 10 |
Operário PR
|
37 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 50 | -1 | 54 | L L L W L W |
| 11 |
São Bernardo
|
37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 42 | +10 | 52 | L D L W W L |
| 12 |
Botafogo SP
|
37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 39 | +6 | 51 | W W W W D W |
| 13 |
Cuiabá
|
37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 34 | 32 | +2 | 47 | D L L L L L |
| 14 |
Athletic Club
|
37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 47 | L D D L W L |
| 15 |
Náutico
|
38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 46 | L D L W L L |
| 16 |
Ceará
|
37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 43 | W L D L L L |
| 17 |
Avaí
|
37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 40 | W W D L L W |
| 18 |
Londrina
|
38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 35 | D W L L L W |
| 19 |
América Mineiro
|
37 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 29 | L L W W W W |
| 20 |
Ponte Preta
|
37 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 21 | 79 | -58 | 15 | L L D D L L |
Novorizontino
Juventude
Vila Nova
Criciúma
CRB
Goiás
Atlético GO
Sport Recife
Operário PR
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
Cuiabá
Athletic Club
Náutico
Ceará
Londrina
América Mineiro
Ponte Preta