Londrina vs América Mineiro prediction, odds and stats (1 Nov 2026)

Brazil Serie B · Round 36 · Sun 1 Nov 2026, 19:00

Londrina 18th, 35 pts

1 – 3Full time · HT 0-2

América Mineiro 19th, 29 pts

Our picks

Backtest

Over/under 2.5

Under 2.5 goals

53% Toss-up

Odds at publication: 1.85 Market 51% · model 59%

Lost Backtest

Both teams to score

Both teams to score: Yes

52% Toss-up

Odds at publication: 1.72 Market 53% · model 47%

Won Backtest

Match result

Londrina win

45% Toss-up

Odds at publication: 2.05 Market 45% · model 42%

Lost Backtest

6 more picks in other markets are listed under "Every market" below.

Our probabilities

Expected goals 1.30 – 1.01

Match result

1 45% Draw 28% 2 27%

Over / under 2.5 goals

Over 47% Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 52% No 48%

Every market

9 picks, all outcomes with market and model probabilities

Market	Outcome	Market	Model	Best odds	Books	Our pick
Match result	Londrina win	45%	42%	2.13	6	Toss-up · 45%
	Draw	28%	30%	3.61	6
	América Mineiro win	27%	28%	3.61	6
Double chance	Londrina or draw	37%	72%	1.30	4	Toss-up · 36%
	Londrina or América Mineiro	36%	70%	1.32	4
	Draw or América Mineiro	27%	58%	1.73	4
Over/under 1.5	Over 1.5 goals	73%	68%	1.31	4	Strong · 72%
	Under 1.5 goals	27%	32%	3.55	4
Over/under 2.5	Over 2.5 goals	49%	41%	1.97	5
	Under 2.5 goals	51%	59%	1.92	5	Toss-up · 53%
Over/under 3.5	Over 3.5 goals	29%	20%	3.40	4
	Under 3.5 goals	71%	80%	1.34	4	Strong · 73%
Both teams to score	Both teams to score: Yes	53%	47%	1.75	5	Toss-up · 52%
	Both teams to score: No	47%	53%	2.02	5
Result & both teams to score	Londrina win & both score	22%	17%	4.00	1
	Londrina win & not both score	25%	26%	3.50	1	Toss-up · 25%
	Draw & both score	20%	19%	4.33	1
	Draw & not both score	9%	11%	10.00	1
	América Mineiro win & both score	12%	12%	7.00	1
	América Mineiro win & not both score	12%	16%	7.00	1
Goals 2.5 & both teams to score	Over 2.5 & both score	40%	33%	2.25	1
	Over 2.5 & not both score	9%	7%	9.50	1
	Under 2.5 & both score	14%	14%	6.50	1
	Under 2.5 & not both score	37%	45%	2.40	1	Lean · 39%
Result & goals 2.5	Londrina win & over 2.5	27%	22%	3.20	2	Toss-up · 26%
	Londrina win & under 2.5	19%	20%	4.75	2
	Draw & over 2.5	8%	5%	11.00	2
	Draw & under 2.5	20%	25%	4.33	2
	América Mineiro win & over 2.5	14%	14%	6.50	2
	América Mineiro win & under 2.5	12%	14%	8.00	2

Scoreline model

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	9	5	2	0
1	12	14	7	2	1
2	8	8	4	1	0
3	4	4	2	1	0
4	1	1	1	0	0
5	0	0	0	0	0

Most likely scorelines

Home 1 – 1 Away14.1%

Home 1 – 0 Away11.9%

Home 0 – 0 Away11.0%

Home 0 – 1 Away8.9%

Home 2 – 1 Away8.5%

Home 2 – 0 Away8.4%

Expected goals 2.31. Independent Poisson with a Dixon-Coles low-score correction, strengths from this season's results. The model carries 25% of the final probability; the market consensus carries the rest.

Odds comparison

Last refreshed 35 minutes ago

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under	BTTS yes	BTTS no
bet365	2.05	3.25	3.60	1.95	1.85	1.72	2.00
Pinnacle	2.13	3.61	3.45	1.95	1.92	–	–
Marathonbet	1.99	3.35	3.50	1.91	1.82	1.75	1.94
BetVictor	2.00	3.25	3.30	1.87	1.80	1.70	2.00
William Hill	2.05	3.30	3.30	–	–	1.75	2.00
1xBet	2.06	3.26	3.61	1.97	1.83	1.74	2.02

Best match-result price per outcome is highlighted. Prices are pre-match and move.

Form

Last matches, all competitions

Londrina L W D L L

League: 18th · 35 pts from 38
Record: 9-8-21, goals 47:59
Home: 6-5-8, goals 27:24

24 Oct CRB v Londrina · BRA CB SB 2-1 L

20 Oct Londrina v Cuiabá · BRA CB SB 1-0 W

13 Oct Athletic Club v Londrina · BRA CB SB 2-2 D

7 Oct Avaí v Londrina · BRA CB SB 2-1 L

2 Oct Londrina v Criciúma · BRA CB SB 0-2 L

América Mineiro W W L L L

League: 19th · 29 pts from 37
Record: 8-5-24, goals 27:55
Away: 3-2-14, goals 13:33

26 Oct América Mineiro v Cuiabá · BRA CB SB 1-0 W

17 Oct América Mineiro v Operário PR · BRA CB SB 1-0 W

12 Oct Criciúma v América Mineiro · BRA CB SB 1-0 L

7 Oct América Mineiro v Fortaleza · BRA CB SB 0-1 L

3 Oct Atlético GO v América Mineiro · BRA CB SB 2-0 L

Head to head

0 previous meetings in our database

These teams have not met in the period we cover.

Serie B table

Competition page

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Novorizontino	37	20	10	7	66	32	+34	70	W W D W W W
2	Juventude	37	19	11	7	49	26	+23	68	W D D W D W
3	Vila Nova	37	19	9	9	53	38	+15	66	D W D L D W
4	Criciúma	37	18	8	11	38	31	+7	62	L W W L W L
5	Fortaleza	37	16	14	7	44	33	+11	62	W D W D D L
6	CRB	37	17	7	13	57	51	+6	58	W D L W L W
7	Goiás	37	17	7	13	39	41	-2	58	W W D W W W
8	Atlético GO	37	15	13	9	45	35	+10	58	L D D L D W
9	Sport Recife	37	14	13	10	50	42	+8	55	W D L W D L
10	Operário PR	37	15	9	13	49	50	-1	54	L L L W L W
11	São Bernardo	37	14	10	13	52	42	+10	52	L D L W W L
12	Botafogo SP	37	14	9	14	45	39	+6	51	W W W W D W
13	Cuiabá	37	11	14	12	34	32	+2	47	D L L L L L
14	Athletic Club	37	11	14	12	44	44	0	47	L D D L W L
15	Náutico	38	12	10	16	41	51	-10	46	L D L W L L
16	Ceará	37	11	10	16	38	47	-9	43	W L D L L L
17	Avaí	37	11	7	19	35	47	-12	40	W W D L L W
18	Londrina	38	9	8	21	47	59	-12	35	D W L L L W
19	América Mineiro	37	8	5	24	27	55	-28	29	L L W W W W
20	Ponte Preta	37	3	6	28	21	79	-58	15	L L D D L L

Why these picks

6 bookmakers priced the match; the fair match-result probabilities after removing the margin are 45% / 28% / 27%.
Londrina form: L W D L L · América Mineiro form: W W L L L
Positions at publication: Londrina 18th, América Mineiro 19th.
Model expected goals 1.30 – 1.01 from attack/defence ratings over 21 and 20 games.
Sharp reference (Pinnacle) price for the match-result pick: 2.13; best available 2.13, average 2.05.

Each pick is simply the most likely outcome of its market. A high probability means low odds, and low odds do not mean profit. How this works.

Details

Competition: Brazil Serie B
Kick-off: Sun 1 Nov 2026, 19:00
Round: 36
Status: Full time
Result: América Mineiro won after full-time.

Odds shown were recorded when the picks were published and will have moved. This page is information, not advice. 18+.