Brazil Serie B · Round 23 ·
Our picks
No prediction was published before kick-off for this match.
Our probabilities
Expected goals 1.19 – 1.13No probabilities yet for this match.
Scoreline model
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 1 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Most likely scorelines
Home 1 – 1 CEA14.3%
Home 0 – 0 CEA10.9%
Home 1 – 0 CEA10.6%
Home 0 – 1 CEA10.0%
Home 2 – 1 CEA7.9%
Home 1 – 2 CEA7.5%
Expected goals 2.32. Independent Poisson with a Dixon-Coles low-score correction, strengths from this season's results. The model carries 25% of the final probability; the market consensus carries the rest.
Form
Last matches, all competitions
Náutico
D
D
D
W
L
- League
- 15th · 46 pts from 38
- Record
- 12-10-16, goals 41:51
- Home
- 9-3-7, goals 20:20
Ceará
L
W
W
L
D
- League
- 16th · 43 pts from 37
- Record
- 11-10-16, goals 38:47
- Away
- 3-6-9, goals 16:25
Head to head
0 previous meetings in our database
These teams have not met in the period we cover.
Serie B table
Competition page| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 Novorizontino
|
37 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 66 | 32 | +34 | 70 | W W D W W W |
| 2 |
 Juventude
|
37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 49 | 26 | +23 | 68 | W D D W D W |
| 3 |
 Vila Nova
|
37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 53 | 38 | +15 | 66 | D W D L D W |
| 4 |
 Criciúma
|
37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 38 | 31 | +7 | 62 | L W W L W L |
| 5 |
 Fortaleza
|
37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 44 | 33 | +11 | 62 | W D W D D L |
| 6 |
 CRB
|
37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 57 | 51 | +6 | 58 | W D L W L W |
| 7 |
 Goiás
|
37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 58 | W W D W W W |
| 8 |
 Atlético GO
|
37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 45 | 35 | +10 | 58 | L D D L D W |
| 9 |
 Sport Recife
|
37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 50 | 42 | +8 | 55 | W D L W D L |
| 10 |
 Operário PR
|
37 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 50 | -1 | 54 | L L L W L W |
| 11 |
 São Bernardo
|
37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 42 | +10 | 52 | L D L W W L |
| 12 |
 Botafogo SP
|
37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 39 | +6 | 51 | W W W W D W |
| 13 |
 Cuiabá
|
37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 34 | 32 | +2 | 47 | D L L L L L |
| 14 |
 Athletic Club
|
37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 47 | L D D L W L |
| 15 |
 Náutico
|
38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 46 | L D L W L L |
| 16 |
 Ceará
|
37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 43 | W L D L L L |
| 17 |
 Avaí
|
37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 40 | W W D L L W |
| 18 |
 Londrina
|
38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 35 | D W L L L W |
| 19 |
 América Mineiro
|
37 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 29 | L L W W W W |
| 20 |
 Ponte Preta
|
37 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 21 | 79 | -58 | 15 | L L D D L L |