Niki Volos vs Pyrgos 1968 prediction, odds and stats (16 Nov 2026)

Greece Super League 2 · Round 11 · Mon 16 Nov 2026, 13:00

Niki Volos 4th, 17 pts

13:00

Mon 16 Nov · Upcoming

Pyrgos 1968 12nd, 9 pts

Our picks

Published 12 Nov 22:51 UTC

Match result ★ Best pick

Niki Volos win

69% Strong

Odds at publication: 1.30 Market 72% · model 60%

Pending Published 12 Nov, 22:51

Both teams to score

Both teams to score: No

59% Lean

Odds at publication: 1.52 Market 60% · model 56%

Pending Published 12 Nov, 22:51

Over/under 2.5

Over 2.5 goals

51% Toss-up

Odds at publication: 1.80 Market 53% · model 45%

Pending Published 12 Nov, 22:51

3 more picks in other markets are listed under "Every market" below.

Our probabilities

Expected goals 1.73 – 0.73

Match result

1 69% Draw 20% 2 10%

Over / under 2.5 goals

Over 51% Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 41% No 59%

Every market

6 picks, all outcomes with market and model probabilities

Market	Outcome	Market	Model	Best odds	Books	Our pick
Match result	Niki Volos win	72%	60%	1.30	4	Strong · 69%
	Draw	19%	25%	5.00	4
	Pyrgos 1968 win	9%	15%	12.10	4
Double chance	Niki Volos or draw	46%	85%	1.04	1
	Niki Volos or Pyrgos 1968	42%	75%	1.13	1
	Draw or Pyrgos 1968	13%	40%	3.75	1
Over/under 1.5	Over 1.5 goals	75%	71%	1.21	2	Strong · 74%
	Under 1.5 goals	25%	29%	3.58	2
Over/under 2.5	Over 2.5 goals	53%	45%	1.80	4	Toss-up · 51%
	Under 2.5 goals	47%	55%	2.00	4
Over/under 3.5	Over 3.5 goals	32%	24%	2.81	2
	Under 3.5 goals	68%	77%	1.33	2	Strong · 70%
Both teams to score	Both teams to score: Yes	40%	44%	2.31	2
	Both teams to score: No	60%	56%	1.52	2	Lean · 59%
Result & goals 2.5	Niki Volos win & over 2.5	45%	34%	1.91	1	Lean · 42%
	Niki Volos win & under 2.5	28%	27%	3.10	1
	Draw & over 2.5	4%	4%	23.00	1
	Draw & under 2.5	14%	21%	6.00	1
	Pyrgos 1968 win & over 2.5	4%	7%	21.00	1
	Pyrgos 1968 win & under 2.5	5%	8%	17.00	1

Scoreline model

H \ A	0	1	2	3
0	9	5	2	1
1	14	12	4	1
2	13	9	3	1
3	7	5	2	0
4	3	2	1	0
5	1	1	0	0

Most likely scorelines

Home 1 – 0 Away13.9%

Home 2 – 0 Away12.7%

Home 1 – 1 Away11.7%

Home 0 – 0 Away9.4%

Home 2 – 1 Away9.4%

Home 3 – 0 Away7.4%

Expected goals 2.47. Independent Poisson with a Dixon-Coles low-score correction, strengths from this season's results. The model carries 25% of the final probability; the market consensus carries the rest.

Odds comparison

Last refreshed 34 minutes ago

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under	BTTS yes	BTTS no
bet365	1.30	4.75	9.00	1.80	2.00	–	–
Betfair	1.22	5.00	9.50	1.75	1.95	–	–
Marathonbet	1.22	4.70	11.25	1.75	1.93	2.31	1.50
1xBet	1.23	4.70	12.10	1.75	1.93	2.31	1.52

Best match-result price per outcome is highlighted. Prices are pre-match and move.

Form

Last matches, all competitions

Niki Volos W W W D W

League: 4th · 17 pts from 10
Record: 5-2-3, goals 14:9
Home: 2-2-1, goals 8:6

9 Nov Zakynthos v Niki Volos · GRC SL2 0-2 W

31 Oct Niki Volos v Anagennisi Karditsas · GRC SL2 2-1 W

24 Oct Apollon Pontou FC v Niki Volos · GRC SL2 0-2 W

19 Oct Niki Volos v Panionios · GRC SL2 1-1 D

11 Oct Ellas Syros v Niki Volos · GRC SL2 0-1 W

Pyrgos 1968 L D W L L

League: 12nd · 9 pts from 10
Record: 2-3-5, goals 8:14
Away: 1-3-2, goals 4:5

8 Nov Pyrgos 1968 v PAOK II · GRC SL2 2-4 L

1 Nov Asteras Tripolis II v Pyrgos 1968 · GRC SL2 1-1 D

26 Oct Zakynthos v Pyrgos 1968 · GRC SL2 2-3 W

18 Oct Pyrgos 1968 v Anagennisi Karditsas · GRC SL2 0-1 L

11 Oct Apollon Pontou FC v Pyrgos 1968 · GRC SL2 1-0 L

Head to head

0 previous meetings in our database

These teams have not met in the period we cover.

Super League 2 table

Competition page

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Marko	10	8	2	0	19	6	+13	26	W W D W W D
2	Kallithea	10	6	2	2	12	6	+6	20	W W D D L W
3	Larissa	10	5	4	1	15	6	+9	19	D L D D W W
4	Niki Volos	10	5	2	3	14	9	+5	17	D W D W W W
5	Panionios	10	5	2	3	13	9	+4	17	L W D L W L
6	Ellas Syros	10	4	4	2	16	9	+7	16	D L D L W W
7	Panserraikos	10	5	2	3	14	14	0	13	D W D W L W
8	Panthrakikos	10	3	4	3	12	12	0	13	D L D D W L
9	Asteras Tripolis II	10	3	4	3	10	11	-1	13	W D D D D W
10	Anagennisi Karditsas	10	3	3	4	8	10	-2	12	L W W W L D
11	PAOK II	10	3	3	4	10	13	-3	12	D L W L D W
12	Pyrgos 1968	10	2	3	5	8	14	-6	9	W L L W D L
13	Nestos Chrisoupolis	10	2	2	6	9	15	-6	8	L L D W L L
14	Apollon Pontou FC	10	2	2	6	7	13	-6	8	D W L L L L
15	Olympiakos Piraeus II	10	1	3	6	13	22	-9	6	D L D L L L
16	Zakynthos	10	0	4	6	7	18	-11	4	D L D L D L

Why these picks

4 bookmakers priced the match; the fair match-result probabilities after removing the margin are 72% / 19% / 9%.
Niki Volos form: W W W D W · Pyrgos 1968 form: L D W L L
Positions at publication: Niki Volos 4th, Pyrgos 1968 12nd.
Model expected goals 1.73 – 0.73 from attack/defence ratings over 10 and 10 games.

Each pick is simply the most likely outcome of its market. A high probability means low odds, and low odds do not mean profit. How this works.

Details

Competition: Greece Super League 2
Kick-off: Mon 16 Nov 2026, 13:00
Round: 11
Status: Upcoming

Odds shown were recorded when the picks were published and will have moved. This page is information, not advice. 18+.