Uruguay Primera Division · Round 7 ·
Our picks
No prediction was published before kick-off for this match.
Our probabilities
Expected goals 1.73 – 0.57No probabilities yet for this match.
Scoreline model
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Most likely scorelines
PEN 1 – 0 CLFC16.6%
PEN 2 – 0 CLFC15.0%
PEN 0 – 0 CLFC10.8%
PEN 1 – 1 CLFC10.7%
PEN 3 – 0 CLFC8.7%
PEN 2 – 1 CLFC8.5%
Expected goals 2.30. Independent Poisson with a Dixon-Coles low-score correction, strengths from this season's results. The model carries 25% of the final probability; the market consensus carries the rest.
Form
Last matches, all competitions
Peñarol
W
L
D
D
L
- League
- 1st · 16 pts from 7
- Record
- 5-1-1, goals 12:3
- Home
- 3-0-1, goals 8:2
Cerro Largo
W
L
D
W
L
- League
- 2nd · 11 pts from 7
- Record
- 3-2-2, goals 7:5
- Away
- 1-1-2, goals 1:4
Head to head
0 previous meetings in our database
These teams have not met in the period we cover.
Primera Division table
Competition page| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 Peñarol
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 16 | W L W D W W |
| 2 |
 Cerro Largo
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 | W W D D W L |
| 3 |
 Racing
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 10 | D D D D L W |
| 4 |
 Liverpool
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 | D W D L W D |
| 5 |
 Central Español
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 | L W D D L D |
| 6 |
 Cerro
|
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 9 | W L L W W L |
| 7 |
 Defensor Sporting
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 | L D D D L W |
| 8 |
 Boston River
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 | L L D D L L |