Track record
Every pick, graded. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.
Each pick is published before kick-off with the odds of that moment and graded after full time. The hit rate is always printed next to the hit rate it would need just to break even at those odds.
Backtest. The published method applied to past matches at the last odds available before kick-off, graded exactly like the live picks. It shows how the method behaves over a large sample; the live record is the one that grows from the launch date.
Same matches, different ways to pick
Click a row to open that selection| Selection | Picks | Won | Hit rate | Break-even | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All picks | 37310 | 21502 | 57.6% | 52.7% | 1.90 |
| Best pick per match | 2145 | 1534 | 71.5% | 71.1% | 1.41 |
| Strong 1X2 | 1003 | 772 | 77.0% | 73.9% | 1.35 |
| Double chance | 4194 | 3397 | 81.0% | 81.0% | 1.23 |
| Recommended goal line | 4219 | 3199 | 75.8% | 68.6% | 1.46 |
Best pick: the most probable selection of a match across match result, total goals and both teams to score, when it clears 60%. Strong 1X2: match-result picks at 60% or more. Double chance: the most likely two-outcome cover. Recommended goal line: one over/under line per match, where our probability beats the odds-implied one by the most. A higher hit rate comes with shorter odds, which is why the break-even column sits next to it.
All picks
Backtest on past matchesHit rate
57.6%
Break-even at these odds: 52.7%
Won / lost
21502 / 15808
Graded on the 90-minute score
Average odds
1.90
Recorded at publication
Average probability
51.0%
Our published probability on the picks
Picks
37310
0 void, not counted
Pending
1202
Live picks awaiting full time
Won and lost by day
Last 60 days, by kick-off dayWon 15800Lost 11203
By month
| Month | Picks | Won | Lost | Hit rate | Break-even | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 | 8699 | 5088 | 3611 | 58.5% | 52.9% | 1.89 |
| Oct 2026 | 18304 | 10712 | 7592 | 58.5% | 53.0% | 1.89 |
| Oct 2024 | 9503 | 5253 | 4250 | 55.3% | 51.6% | 1.94 |
| Sep 2024 | 10431 | 5766 | 4665 | 55.3% | 52.3% | 1.91 |
| Aug 2024 | 11336 | 6288 | 5048 | 55.5% | 52.0% | 1.92 |
By market
| Market | Picks | Won | Lost | Hit rate | Break-even | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 6693 | 3640 | 3053 | 54.4% | 52.6% | 1.90 |
| Double chance | 6553 | 5249 | 1304 | 80.1% | 80.6% | 1.24 |
| Over/under | 19708 | 13503 | 6205 | 68.5% | 68.8% | 1.45 |
| Both teams to score | 6588 | 3713 | 2875 | 56.4% | 60.2% | 1.66 |
| Result & both teams to score | 6156 | 1934 | 4222 | 31.4% | 31.1% | 3.21 |
| Goals & both teams to score | 6148 | 2822 | 3326 | 45.9% | 49.4% | 2.02 |
| Result & goals | 6427 | 2246 | 4181 | 34.9% | 34.8% | 2.88 |
By confidence
| Confidence | Picks | Won | Lost | Hit rate | Break-even | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strong | 18702 | 13275 | 5427 | 71.0% | 71.1% | 1.41 |
| Lean | 15383 | 8059 | 7324 | 52.4% | 53.9% | 1.86 |
| Toss-up | 24188 | 11773 | 12415 | 48.7% | 43.0% | 2.33 |
By odds band
ProBy competition
ProLatest settled picks
| Kick-off | Published | Match | Pick | Prob. | Odds | Close | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| backtest | SL Benfica W v Austria Wien W UEFA Women's Champions League · 3-1 | SL Benfica W win & over 2.5 | 38% | 2.30 | 2.30 | Won | |
| backtest | SL Benfica W v Austria Wien W UEFA Women's Champions League · 3-1 | Over 2.5 & both score | 40% | 2.20 | 2.20 | Won | |
| backtest | SL Benfica W v Austria Wien W UEFA Women's Champions League · 3-1 | SL Benfica W win & not both score | 37% | 2.37 | 2.37 | Lost | |
| backtest | SL Benfica W v Austria Wien W UEFA Women's Champions League · 3-1 | Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 | 1.54 | Lost | |
| backtest | SL Benfica W v Austria Wien W UEFA Women's Champions League · 3-1 | Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.19 | 1.19 | Won | |
| backtest | SL Benfica W v Austria Wien W UEFA Women's Champions League · 3-1 | SL Benfica W or draw | 41% | 1.18 | 1.18 | Won | |
| backtest | SL Benfica W v Austria Wien W UEFA Women's Champions League · 3-1 | Both teams to score: Yes | 53% | 1.80 | 1.80 | Won | |
| backtest | SL Benfica W v Austria Wien W UEFA Women's Champions League · 3-1 | Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.66 | 1.66 | Won | |
| backtest | SL Benfica W v Austria Wien W UEFA Women's Champions League · 3-1 | ★ SL Benfica W win | 61% | 1.50 | 1.50 | Won | |
| backtest | Chambéry Savoie v Grenoble Foot 38 Coupe de France · 0-2 | Over 2.5 & both score | 42% | 2.10 | 2.10 | Lost | |
| backtest | Chambéry Savoie v Grenoble Foot 38 Coupe de France · 0-2 | Grenoble Foot 38 win & not both score | 41% | 2.10 | 2.10 | Won | |
| backtest | Chambéry Savoie v Grenoble Foot 38 Coupe de France · 0-2 | Under 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 | 1.89 | Won | |
| backtest | Chambéry Savoie v Grenoble Foot 38 Coupe de France · 0-2 | Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.08 | 1.08 | Won | |
| backtest | Chambéry Savoie v Grenoble Foot 38 Coupe de France · 0-2 | Draw or Grenoble Foot 38 | 45% | 1.07 | 1.07 | Won | |
| backtest | Navalcarnero v Real Betis Copa Del Rey · 2-2 | Real Betis win & over 2.5 | 67% | 1.30 | 1.30 | Lost | |
| backtest | Navalcarnero v Real Betis Copa Del Rey · 2-2 | Over 2.5 & not both score | 39% | 2.30 | 2.30 | Lost | |
| backtest | Navalcarnero v Real Betis Copa Del Rey · 2-2 | Real Betis win & not both score | 55% | 1.57 | 1.57 | Lost | |
| backtest | Navalcarnero v Real Betis Copa Del Rey · 2-2 | Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.81 | 1.81 | Won | |
| backtest | Navalcarnero v Real Betis Copa Del Rey · 2-2 | Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 1.06 | 1.06 | Won | |
| backtest | Navalcarnero v Real Betis Copa Del Rey · 2-2 | Draw or Real Betis | 47% | 1.02 | 1.02 | Won | |
| backtest | Tarancón v Levante Copa Del Rey · 1-1 | Levante win & over 2.5 | 66% | 1.33 | 1.33 | Lost | |
| backtest | Tarancón v Levante Copa Del Rey · 1-1 | Over 2.5 & not both score | 37% | 2.40 | 2.40 | Lost | |
| backtest | Tarancón v Levante Copa Del Rey · 1-1 | Levante win & not both score | 52% | 1.66 | 1.66 | Lost | |
| backtest | Tarancón v Levante Copa Del Rey · 1-1 | Under 3.5 goals | 51% | 2.00 | 2.00 | Won | |
| backtest | Tarancón v Levante Copa Del Rey · 1-1 | Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.08 | 1.08 | Won | |
| backtest | Tarancón v Levante Copa Del Rey · 1-1 | Draw or Levante | 46% | 1.04 | 1.04 | Won | |
| backtest | Chambéry Savoie v Grenoble Foot 38 Coupe de France · 0-2 | Both teams to score: Yes | 52% | 1.83 | 1.83 | Lost | |
| backtest | Chambéry Savoie v Grenoble Foot 38 Coupe de France · 0-2 | Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.44 | 1.44 | Lost | |
| backtest | Chambéry Savoie v Grenoble Foot 38 Coupe de France · 0-2 | ★ Grenoble Foot 38 win | 75% | 1.27 | 1.27 | Won | |
| backtest | Navalcarnero v Real Betis Copa Del Rey · 2-2 | Both teams to score: No | 59% | 1.50 | 1.50 | Lost | |
| backtest | Navalcarnero v Real Betis Copa Del Rey · 2-2 | Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 1.33 | 1.33 | Won | |
| backtest | Navalcarnero v Real Betis Copa Del Rey · 2-2 | ★ Real Betis win | 86% | 1.08 | 1.08 | Lost | |
| backtest | Tarancón v Levante Copa Del Rey · 1-1 | Both teams to score: No | 57% | 1.57 | 1.57 | Lost | |
| backtest | Tarancón v Levante Copa Del Rey · 1-1 | Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 1.30 | 1.30 | Lost | |
| backtest | Tarancón v Levante Copa Del Rey · 1-1 | ★ Levante win | 81% | 1.16 | 1.16 | Lost | |
| backtest | Barcelona W v Arsenal W UEFA Women's Champions League · 1-1 | Barcelona W win & over 2.5 | 67% | 1.29 | 1.29 | Lost | |
| backtest | Barcelona W v Arsenal W UEFA Women's Champions League · 1-1 | Over 2.5 & both score | 55% | 1.61 | 1.61 | Lost | |
| backtest | Barcelona W v Arsenal W UEFA Women's Champions League · 1-1 | Barcelona W win & both score | 41% | 2.10 | 2.10 | Lost | |
| backtest | Barcelona W v Arsenal W UEFA Women's Champions League · 1-1 | Over 3.5 goals | 64% | 1.46 | 1.46 | Lost | |
| backtest | Barcelona W v Arsenal W UEFA Women's Champions League · 1-1 | Over 1.5 goals | 90% | 1.05 | 1.05 | Won | |
| backtest | Barcelona W v Arsenal W UEFA Women's Champions League · 1-1 | Barcelona W or draw | 45% | 1.05 | 1.05 | Won | |
| backtest | Barcelona W v Arsenal W UEFA Women's Champions League · 1-1 | Both teams to score: Yes | 63% | 1.50 | 1.50 | Won | |
| backtest | Barcelona W v Arsenal W UEFA Women's Champions League · 1-1 | ★ Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 1.22 | 1.22 | Lost | |
| backtest | Barcelona W v Arsenal W UEFA Women's Champions League · 1-1 | Barcelona W win | 79% | 1.20 | 1.20 | Lost | |
| backtest | Malta v Eswatini Friendly International · 1-1 | Malta win & over 2.5 | 33% | 2.62 | 2.62 | Lost | |
| backtest | Malta v Eswatini Friendly International · 1-1 | Under 2.5 & not both score | 47% | 1.90 | 1.90 | Lost | |
| backtest | Malta v Eswatini Friendly International · 1-1 | Malta win & not both score | 43% | 2.00 | 2.00 | Lost | |
| backtest | Malta v Eswatini Friendly International · 1-1 | Under 3.5 goals | 77% | 1.23 | 1.23 | Won | |
| backtest | Malta v Eswatini Friendly International · 1-1 | Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 1.39 | 1.39 | Won | |
| backtest | Malta v Eswatini Friendly International · 1-1 | Malta or draw | 43% | 1.13 | 1.13 | Won | |
| backtest | Calvo Sotelo v Albacete Copa Del Rey · 0-3 | Albacete win & over 2.5 | 41% | 2.00 | 2.00 | Won | |
| backtest | Calvo Sotelo v Albacete Copa Del Rey · 0-3 | Over 2.5 & both score | 40% | 2.20 | 2.20 | Lost | |
| backtest | Calvo Sotelo v Albacete Copa Del Rey · 0-3 | Albacete win & not both score | 37% | 2.37 | 2.37 | Won | |
| backtest | Calvo Sotelo v Albacete Copa Del Rey · 0-3 | Under 3.5 goals | 64% | 1.50 | 1.50 | Won | |
| backtest | Calvo Sotelo v Albacete Copa Del Rey · 0-3 | Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.21 | 1.21 | Won | |
| backtest | Calvo Sotelo v Albacete Copa Del Rey · 0-3 | Draw or Albacete | 41% | 1.15 | 1.15 | Won | |
| backtest | Malta v Eswatini Friendly International · 1-1 | Both teams to score: No | 61% | 1.44 | 1.44 | Lost | |
| backtest | Malta v Eswatini Friendly International · 1-1 | Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.65 | 1.65 | Won | |
| backtest | Malta v Eswatini Friendly International · 1-1 | ★ Malta win | 63% | 1.48 | 1.48 | Lost | |
| backtest | Calvo Sotelo v Albacete Copa Del Rey · 0-3 | Both teams to score: Yes | 54% | 1.90 | 1.90 | Lost |