Uruguay Primera Division · Round 1 ·
Our picks
No prediction was published before kick-off for this match.
Our probabilities
Expected goals 0.74 – 0.94No probabilities yet for this match.
Scoreline model
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 20 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 1 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Most likely scorelines
CLFC 0 – 0 Away19.8%
CLFC 0 – 1 Away16.6%
CLFC 1 – 1 Away14.0%
CLFC 1 – 0 Away12.8%
CLFC 0 – 2 Away8.2%
CLFC 1 – 2 Away6.1%
Expected goals 1.67. Independent Poisson with a Dixon-Coles low-score correction, strengths from this season's results. The model carries 25% of the final probability; the market consensus carries the rest.
Form
Last matches, all competitions
Cerro Largo
L
W
L
D
W
- League
- 2nd · 11 pts from 7
- Record
- 3-2-2, goals 7:5
- Home
- 2-1-0, goals 6:1
Juventud
D
W
D
D
D
- League
- 5th · 8 pts from 7
- Record
- 2-2-3, goals 8:11
- Away
- 1-2-1, goals 3:3
Head to head
0 previous meetings in our database
These teams have not met in the period we cover.
Primera Division table
Competition pageGroup 1
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Wanderers
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 15 | D W D W W W |
| 2 |
Nacional
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 | W L W D L W |
| 3 |
Deportivo Maldonado
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 12 | D W W D L D |
| 4 |
Montevideo City Torque
|
7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 | W W L W W L |
| 5 |
Juventud
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 | L L D L W D |
| 6 |
Albion
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 | L L W D L D |
| 7 |
Atlético Progreso
|
7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 | L W L L W L |
| 8 |
Danubio
|
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | L D D D L D |
Group 2
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Peñarol
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 16 | W L W D W W |
| 2 |
Cerro Largo
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 | W W D D W L |
| 3 |
Racing
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 10 | D D D D L W |
| 4 |
Liverpool
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 | D W D L W D |
| 5 |
Central Español
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 | L W D D L D |
| 6 |
Cerro
|
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 9 | W L L W W L |
| 7 |
Defensor Sporting
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 | L D D D L W |
| 8 |
Boston River
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 | L L D D L L |
Wanderers
Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Montevideo City Torque
Albion
Atlético Progreso
Danubio
Peñarol
Racing
Liverpool
Central Español
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Boston River