OddLynx
Uruguay Primera Division · Round 5 ·
Danubio 8th, 4 pts
0 – 4Full time · HT 0-1
Peñarol 1st, 16 pts

Our picks

No prediction was published before kick-off for this match.

Our probabilities

Expected goals 0.64 – 1.32

No probabilities yet for this match.

Scoreline model

H \ A012345
0 15 18 12 5 2 0
1 8 13 8 3 1 0
2 3 4 3 1 0 0
3 1 1 1 0 0 0
4 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 0 0 0 0 0 0
Most likely scorelines
DFC 0 – 1 PEN17.7%
DFC 0 – 0 PEN15.0%
DFC 1 – 1 PEN12.8%
DFC 0 – 2 PEN12.3%
DFC 1 – 0 PEN8.0%
DFC 1 – 2 PEN7.9%

Expected goals 1.96. Independent Poisson with a Dixon-Coles low-score correction, strengths from this season's results. The model carries 25% of the final probability; the market consensus carries the rest.

Form

Last matches, all competitions
Danubio L D D L D
League
8th · 4 pts from 7
Record
0-4-3, goals 5:9
Home
0-2-1, goals 2:3
29 Aug Atlético Progreso v Danubio · URY CL 1-0 L
23 Aug Danubio v Racing · URY CL 0-0 D
14 Aug Boston River v Danubio · URY CL 0-0 D
9 Aug Danubio v Cerro · URY CL 0-1 L
1 Aug Albion v Danubio · URY CL 2-2 D
24 Jul Montevideo City Torque v Danubio · URY CL 1-0 L
6 Mar Cerro Largo v Danubio · SA Copa 2-2 D
Peñarol L D W W W
League
1st · 16 pts from 7
Record
5-1-1, goals 12:3
Away
2-1-0, goals 4:1
30 Aug Peñarol v Nacional · URY CL 0-1 L
22 Aug Deportivo Maldonado v Peñarol · URY CL 0-0 D
16 Aug Peñarol v Central Español · URY CL 2-1 W
5 Aug Peñarol v Wanderers · URY CL 5-1 W
1 Aug Peñarol v Cerro Largo · URY CL 3-0 W
18 Jul Peñarol v Boston River · URY CL 3-0 W
28 May Peñarol v Santa Fe · SA Copa 0-1 L
22 May Peñarol v Corinthians · SA Copa 1-1 D
7 May Platense v Peñarol · SA Copa 1-1 D
1 May Corinthians v Peñarol · SA Copa 2-0 L
17 Apr Peñarol v Platense · SA Copa 1-2 L
10 Apr Santa Fe v Peñarol · SA Copa 1-1 D
20 Aug Racing Club v Peñarol · SA Copa 3-1 L
13 Aug Peñarol v Racing Club · SA Copa 1-0 W
29 May Peñarol v Vélez Sarsfield · SA Copa 0-0 D
14 May Peñarol v Olimpia · SA Copa 3-2 W
7 May San Antonio Bulo Bulo v Peñarol · SA Copa 0-3 W
23 Apr Olimpia v Peñarol · SA Copa 0-0 D
9 Apr Peñarol v San Antonio Bulo Bulo · SA Copa 2-0 W
2 Apr Vélez Sarsfield v Peñarol · SA Copa 2-1 L

Head to head

0 previous meetings in our database
These teams have not met in the period we cover.

Primera Division table

Competition page
Group 1
#Team PWDL GFGAGDPts Form
1 Wanderers 7430 124+8 15 D W D W W W
2 Nacional 7412 880 13 W L W D L W
3 Deportivo Maldonado 7331 126+6 12 D W W D L D
4 Montevideo City Torque 7403 11110 12 W W L W W L
5 Juventud 7223 811-3 8 L L D L W D
6 Albion 7133 68-2 6 L L W D L D
7 Atlético Progreso 7205 611-5 6 L W L L W L
8 Danubio 7043 59-4 4 L D D D L D
Group 2
#Team PWDL GFGAGDPts Form
1 Peñarol 7511 123+9 16 W L W D W W
2 Cerro Largo 7322 75+2 11 W W D D W L
3 Racing 7241 43+1 10 D D D D L W
4 Liverpool 7232 550 9 D W D L W D
5 Central Español 7232 440 9 L W D D L D
6 Cerro 7304 610-4 9 W L L W W L
7 Defensor Sporting 7133 69-3 6 L D D D L W
8 Boston River 7124 510-5 5 L L D D L L