OddLynx
Brazil Serie B · Round 34 ·
Goiás 7th, 58 pts
0 – 0Full time · HT 0-0
Náutico 15th, 46 pts

Our picks

Backtest
Match result
Goiás win
56% Lean
Odds at publication: 1.72 Market 55% · model 59%
Lost Backtest
Over/under 2.5
Under 2.5 goals
51% Toss-up
Odds at publication: 2.00 Market 48% · model 62%
Won Backtest
Both teams to score
Both teams to score: No
51% Toss-up
Odds at publication: 1.83 Market 48% · model 62%
Won Backtest

6 more picks in other markets are listed under "Every market" below.

Our probabilities

Expected goals 1.56 – 0.65
Match result
1 56% Draw 26% 2 19%
Over / under 2.5 goals
Over 49% Under 51%
Both teams to score
Yes 49% No 51%

Every market

9 picks, all outcomes with market and model probabilities
MarketOutcomeMarketModelBest oddsBooksOur pick
Match result Goiás win 55% 58% 1.75 7 Lean · 56%
Draw 25% 27% 3.76 7
Náutico win 20% 14% 5.15 7
Double chance Goiás or draw 40% 86% 1.18 5 Toss-up · 41%
Goiás or Náutico 38% 73% 1.26 5
Draw or Náutico 22% 42% 2.15 5
Over/under 1.5 Over 1.5 goals 75% 65% 1.26 5 Strong · 73%
Under 1.5 goals 25% 35% 4.02 5
Over/under 2.5 Over 2.5 goals 52% 38% 1.89 6
Under 2.5 goals 48% 62% 2.04 6 Toss-up · 51%
Over/under 3.5 Over 3.5 goals 31% 18% 3.16 5
Under 3.5 goals 69% 82% 1.37 5 Strong · 72%
Both teams to score Both teams to score: Yes 52% 38% 1.83 6
Both teams to score: No 48% 62% 2.00 6 Toss-up · 51%
Result & both teams to score Goiás win & both score 25% 18% 3.40 1
Goiás win & not both score 33% 40% 2.62 1 Toss-up · 35%
Draw & both score 17% 15% 5.00 1
Draw & not both score 7% 12% 12.00 1
Náutico win & both score 9% 5% 10.00 1
Náutico win & not both score 9% 9% 10.00 1
Goals 2.5 & both teams to score Over 2.5 & both score 39% 26% 2.30 1
Over 2.5 & not both score 14% 11% 6.50 1
Under 2.5 & both score 12% 12% 7.50 1
Under 2.5 & not both score 36% 50% 2.50 1 Lean · 39%
Result & goals 2.5 Goiás win & over 2.5 34% 29% 2.60 3 Toss-up · 33%
Goiás win & under 2.5 21% 30% 4.20 3
Draw & over 2.5 7% 3% 13.00 3
Draw & under 2.5 18% 24% 5.00 3
Náutico win & over 2.5 11% 6% 9.50 3
Náutico win & under 2.5 9% 9% 11.00 3

Scoreline model

H \ A012345
0 12 6 2 0 0 0
1 16 12 4 1 0 0
2 13 9 3 1 0 0
3 7 4 1 0 0 0
4 3 2 1 0 0 0
5 1 1 0 0 0 0
Most likely scorelines
Home 1 – 0 Away16.3%
Home 2 – 0 Away13.4%
Home 1 – 1 Away12.0%
Home 0 – 0 Away11.9%
Home 2 – 1 Away8.7%
Home 3 – 0 Away6.9%

Expected goals 2.20. Independent Poisson with a Dixon-Coles low-score correction, strengths from this season's results. The model carries 25% of the final probability; the market consensus carries the rest.

Odds comparison

Last refreshed 1 hour ago
Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5UnderBTTS yesBTTS no
bet365 1.72 3.70 4.50 1.80 2.00 1.83 1.83
Pinnacle 1.72 3.76 5.15 1.84 2.04 – –
Betfair 1.67 3.60 4.60 1.75 1.95 1.70 2.00
Marathonbet 1.67 3.70 4.60 1.78 1.95 1.74 1.95
BetVictor 1.62 3.70 4.60 1.74 1.94 1.73 2.00
William Hill 1.75 3.40 4.40 – – 1.75 1.95
1xBet 1.73 3.71 4.51 1.89 1.91 1.82 1.92

Best match-result price per outcome is highlighted. Prices are pre-match and move.

Form

Last matches, all competitions
Goiás W W L L W
League
7th · 58 pts from 37
Record
17-7-13, goals 39:41
Home
11-2-6, goals 19:18
11 Oct Operário PR v Goiás · BRA CB SB 0-2 W
6 Oct Goiás v Athletic Club · BRA CB SB 2-1 W
2 Oct Novorizontino v Goiás · BRA CB SB 3-0 L
26 Sep Goiás v Atlético GO · BRA CB SB 0-1 L
20 Sep Goiás v Avaí · BRA CB SB 2-1 W
14 Sep Botafogo SP v Goiás · BRA CB SB 1-3 W
10 Sep Vila Nova v Goiás · BRA CB SB 2-0 L
5 Sep Goiás v Fortaleza · BRA CB SB 0-1 L
28 Aug Goiás v São Bernardo · BRA CB SB 2-1 W
22 Aug Cuiabá v Goiás · BRA CB SB 1-1 D
19 Aug Goiás v Juventude · BRA CB SB 0-1 L
15 Aug Criciúma v Goiás · BRA CB SB 1-0 L
10 Aug Goiás v Londrina · BRA CB SB 1-0 W
26 Jul América Mineiro v Goiás · BRA CB SB 1-0 L
22 Jul Goiás v Sport Recife · BRA CB SB 1-1 D
18 Jul Ponte Preta v Goiás · BRA CB SB 1-2 W
Náutico L L D W L
League
15th · 46 pts from 38
Record
12-10-16, goals 41:51
Away
3-7-9, goals 21:31
11 Oct Náutico v Vila Nova · BRA CB SB 0-2 L
8 Oct Náutico v Novorizontino · BRA CB SB 0-2 L
3 Oct Fortaleza v Náutico · BRA CB SB 1-1 D
26 Sep Náutico v Sport Recife · BRA CB SB 3-1 W
22 Sep Cuiabá v Náutico · BRA CB SB 3-0 L
15 Sep Náutico v Operário PR · BRA CB SB 3-3 D
9 Sep América Mineiro v Náutico · BRA CB SB 2-1 L
3 Sep Náutico v Botafogo SP · BRA CB SB 1-0 W
28 Aug Náutico v Athletic Club · BRA CB SB 2-1 W
23 Aug São Bernardo v Náutico · BRA CB SB 1-1 D
19 Aug Náutico v Ceará · BRA CB SB 1-0 W
14 Aug Ponte Preta v Náutico · BRA CB SB 1-1 D
9 Aug Náutico v Atlético GO · BRA CB SB 1-1 D
26 Jul Criciúma v Náutico · BRA CB SB 0-0 D
23 Jul Náutico v Londrina · BRA CB SB 2-1 W
16 Jul CRB v Náutico · BRA CB SB 2-1 L

Head to head

0 previous meetings in our database
These teams have not met in the period we cover.

Serie B table

Competition page
#Team PWDL GFGAGDPts Form
1 Novorizontino 3720107 6632+34 70 W W D W W W
2 Juventude 3719117 4926+23 68 W D D W D W
3 Vila Nova 371999 5338+15 66 D W D L D W
4 Criciúma 3718811 3831+7 62 L W W L W L
5 Fortaleza 3716147 4433+11 62 W D W D D L
6 CRB 3717713 5751+6 58 W D L W L W
7 Goiás 3717713 3941-2 58 W W D W W W
8 Atlético GO 3715139 4535+10 58 L D D L D W
9 Sport Recife 37141310 5042+8 55 W D L W D L
10 Operário PR 3715913 4950-1 54 L L L W L W
11 São Bernardo 37141013 5242+10 52 L D L W W L
12 Botafogo SP 3714914 4539+6 51 W W W W D W
13 Cuiabá 37111412 3432+2 47 D L L L L L
14 Athletic Club 37111412 44440 47 L D D L W L
15 Náutico 38121016 4151-10 46 L D L W L L
16 Ceará 37111016 3847-9 43 W L D L L L
17 Avaí 3711719 3547-12 40 W W D L L W
18 Londrina 389821 4759-12 35 D W L L L W
19 América Mineiro 378524 2755-28 29 L L W W W W
20 Ponte Preta 373628 2179-58 15 L L D D L L