Track record
Every pick, graded. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.
Each pick is published before kick-off with the odds of that moment and graded after full time. The hit rate is always printed next to the hit rate it would need just to break even at those odds.
Backtest. The published method applied to past matches at the last odds available before kick-off, graded exactly like the live picks. It shows how the method behaves over a large sample; the live record is the one that grows from the launch date.
Same matches, different ways to pick
Click a row to open that selection| Selection | Picks | Won | Hit rate | Break-even | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All picks | 37310 | 21502 | 57.6% | 52.7% | 1.90 |
| Best pick per match | 2145 | 1534 | 71.5% | 71.1% | 1.41 |
| Strong 1X2 | 1003 | 772 | 77.0% | 73.9% | 1.35 |
| Double chance | 4194 | 3397 | 81.0% | 81.0% | 1.23 |
| Recommended goal line | 4219 | 3199 | 75.8% | 68.6% | 1.46 |
Best pick: the most probable selection of a match across match result, total goals and both teams to score, when it clears 60%. Strong 1X2: match-result picks at 60% or more. Double chance: the most likely two-outcome cover. Recommended goal line: one over/under line per match, where our probability beats the odds-implied one by the most. A higher hit rate comes with shorter odds, which is why the break-even column sits next to it.
Strong 1X2
Backtest on past matchesHit rate
77.0%
Break-even at these odds: 73.9%
Won / lost
772 / 231
Graded on the 90-minute score
Average odds
1.35
Recorded at publication
Average probability
70.3%
Our published probability on the picks
Picks
1003
0 void, not counted
Pending
36
Live picks awaiting full time
Won and lost by day
Last 60 days, by kick-off dayWon 564Lost 162
By month
| Month | Picks | Won | Lost | Hit rate | Break-even | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 | 235 | 185 | 50 | 78.7% | 75.2% | 1.33 |
| Oct 2026 | 491 | 379 | 112 | 77.2% | 73.0% | 1.37 |
| Oct 2024 | 216 | 164 | 52 | 75.9% | 74.5% | 1.34 |
| Sep 2024 | 267 | 199 | 68 | 74.5% | 73.2% | 1.37 |
| Aug 2024 | 295 | 223 | 72 | 75.6% | 74.2% | 1.35 |
By market
| Market | Picks | Won | Lost | Hit rate | Break-even | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 1504 | 1150 | 354 | 76.5% | 73.8% | 1.35 |
By confidence
| Confidence | Picks | Won | Lost | Hit rate | Break-even | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strong | 1504 | 1150 | 354 | 76.5% | 73.8% | 1.35 |
By odds band
ProBy competition
ProLatest settled picks
| Kick-off | Published | Match | Pick | Prob. | Odds | Close | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| backtest | SL Benfica W v Austria Wien W UEFA Women's Champions League · 3-1 | ★ SL Benfica W win | 61% | 1.50 | 1.50 | Won | |
| backtest | Chambéry Savoie v Grenoble Foot 38 Coupe de France · 0-2 | ★ Grenoble Foot 38 win | 75% | 1.27 | 1.27 | Won | |
| backtest | Navalcarnero v Real Betis Copa Del Rey · 2-2 | ★ Real Betis win | 86% | 1.08 | 1.08 | Lost | |
| backtest | Tarancón v Levante Copa Del Rey · 1-1 | ★ Levante win | 81% | 1.16 | 1.16 | Lost | |
| backtest | Barcelona W v Arsenal W UEFA Women's Champions League · 1-1 | Barcelona W win | 79% | 1.20 | 1.20 | Lost | |
| backtest | Malta v Eswatini Friendly International · 1-1 | ★ Malta win | 63% | 1.48 | 1.48 | Lost | |
| backtest | Calvo Sotelo v Albacete Copa Del Rey · 0-3 | ★ Albacete win | 60% | 1.53 | 1.53 | Won | |
| backtest | Borussia Mönchengladbach v Standard Liège Club Friendlies 3 · 1-0 | ★ Borussia Mönchengladbach win | 61% | 1.55 | 1.55 | Won | |
| backtest | Hannover 96 v Havelse Club Friendlies 3 · 6-1 | Hannover 96 win | 69% | 1.28 | 1.28 | Won | |
| backtest | RB Leipzig v Mladá Boleslav Club Friendlies 3 · 4-5 | ★ RB Leipzig win | 77% | 1.25 | 1.25 | Lost | |
| backtest | Górnik Zabrze v Polonia Bytom Club Friendlies 3 · 6-0 | ★ Górnik Zabrze win | 72% | 1.29 | 1.29 | Won | |
| backtest | New Zealand v India Friendly International · 5-0 | ★ New Zealand win | 76% | 1.18 | 1.18 | Won | |
| backtest | Juventus W v OL Lyonnes W UEFA Women's Champions League · 0-6 | ★ OL Lyonnes W win | 84% | 1.12 | 1.12 | Won | |
| backtest | Fleury 91 W v Toulouse W Premiere Ligue Women · 7-0 | ★ Fleury 91 W win | 69% | 1.36 | 1.36 | Won | |
| backtest | Vietnam v Chinese Taipei Friendly International · 2-0 | ★ Vietnam win | 86% | 1.09 | 1.09 | Won | |
| backtest | Tavernes v Valencia Copa Del Rey · 0-6 | Valencia win | 95% | 1.01 | 1.01 | Won | |
| backtest | Roma W v Servette Chênois W UEFA Women's Champions League · 2-1 | ★ Roma W win | 79% | 1.18 | 1.18 | Won | |
| backtest | Inter Milano W v Manchester City W UEFA Women's Champions League · 1-4 | ★ Manchester City W win | 67% | 1.40 | 1.40 | Won | |
| backtest | Paris SG W v FC Bayern München W UEFA Women's Champions League · 1-2 | FC Bayern München W win | 64% | 1.48 | 1.48 | Won | |
| backtest | Trival Valderas v Leganés Copa Del Rey · 0-1 | ★ Leganés win | 83% | 1.14 | 1.14 | Won | |
| backtest | Anaitasuna FT v Deportivo Alavés Copa Del Rey · 1-6 | ★ Deportivo Alavés win | 89% | 1.05 | 1.05 | Won | |
| backtest | Pamplona v SD Eibar Copa Del Rey · 0-3 | ★ SD Eibar win | 73% | 1.28 | 1.28 | Won | |
| backtest | Häcken W v Chelsea W UEFA Women's Champions League · 0-0 | ★ Chelsea W win | 82% | 1.18 | 1.18 | Lost | |
| backtest | Real Madrid W v Paris W UEFA Women's Champions League · 3-0 | ★ Real Madrid W win | 69% | 1.33 | 1.33 | Won | |
| backtest | Atletico Madrid W v FC Badalona Women Liga F Moeve · 3-0 | ★ Atletico Madrid W win | 76% | 1.20 | 1.20 | Won | |
| backtest | Zakynthos v Niki Volos Super League 2 · 0-2 | ★ Niki Volos win | 68% | 1.30 | 1.30 | Won | |
| backtest | Universitario v UCV Moquegua Primera Division · 2-2 | ★ Universitario win | 75% | 1.20 | 1.20 | Lost | |
| backtest | Deportivo Garcilaso v Comerciantes Unidos Primera Division · 0-0 | ★ Deportivo Garcilaso win | 62% | 1.50 | 1.50 | Lost | |
| backtest | Goiás v Ponte Preta Serie B · 1-0 | ★ Goiás win | 83% | 1.10 | 1.10 | Won | |
| backtest | Club Bolívar v The Strongest Liga De Futbol Prof · 1-0 | Club Bolívar win | 61% | 1.57 | 1.57 | Won | |
| backtest | Estrela Amadora v Benfica Liga Portugal · 2-3 | ★ Benfica win | 78% | 1.22 | 1.22 | Won | |
| backtest | Rio Ave v Sporting Braga Liga Portugal · 0-1 | ★ Sporting Braga win | 61% | 1.53 | 1.53 | Won | |
| backtest | Cerro Porteño v Deportivo Recoleta Division 1 · 1-1 | ★ Cerro Porteño win | 66% | 1.30 | 1.30 | Lost | |
| backtest | Lech Poznań v Zagłębie Lubin Ekstraklasa · 2-2 | ★ Lech Poznań win | 64% | 1.48 | 1.48 | Lost | |
| backtest | Santa Fe v Deportivo Pasto Liga BetPlay · 5-0 | ★ Santa Fe win | 83% | 1.04 | 1.04 | Won | |
| backtest | Olympiacos F.C. v PAOK Super League · 1-1 | ★ Olympiacos F.C. win | 61% | 1.55 | 1.55 | Lost | |
| backtest | TSG Hoffenheim v Schalke 04 Bundesliga · 2-1 | ★ TSG Hoffenheim win | 61% | 1.53 | 1.53 | Won | |
| backtest | Beşiktaş v Gençlerbirliği Super Lig · 3-0 | ★ Beşiktaş win | 78% | 1.16 | 1.16 | Won | |
| backtest | Universidad Chile v Cobresal Primera Division · 2-1 | ★ Universidad Chile win | 76% | 1.22 | 1.22 | Won | |
| backtest | Vitória Guimarães v Porto Liga Portugal · 1-2 | ★ Porto win | 63% | 1.48 | 1.48 | Won | |
| backtest | Union Saint-Gilloise v Genk Pro League · 1-0 | ★ Union Saint-Gilloise win | 62% | 1.55 | 1.55 | Won | |
| backtest | Villarreal v Getafe La Liga · 2-0 | ★ Villarreal win | 61% | 1.55 | 1.55 | Won | |
| backtest | FC Midtjylland v Sønderjyske Fodbold Superliga · 2-2 | ★ FC Midtjylland win | 70% | 1.38 | 1.38 | Lost | |
| backtest | Pafos FC v Omonia 29is Maiou 1. Division · 4-2 | ★ Pafos FC win | 71% | 1.25 | 1.25 | Won | |
| backtest | SC Freiburg v FC Union Berlin Bundesliga · 2-0 | ★ SC Freiburg win | 69% | 1.45 | 1.45 | Won | |
| backtest | Celtic v Kilmarnock Premiership · 1-0 | ★ Celtic win | 81% | 1.12 | 1.12 | Won | |
| backtest | Viking v KFUM Eliteserien · 5-1 | ★ Viking win | 76% | 1.22 | 1.22 | Won | |
| backtest | Partizan v Mačva Šabac Super Liga · 1-2 | ★ Partizan win | 73% | 1.20 | 1.20 | Lost | |
| backtest | SC Cambuur v PSV Eredivisie · 2-5 | PSV win | 67% | 1.42 | 1.42 | Won | |
| backtest | AIK v Häcken Allsvenskan · 3-2 | Häcken win | 61% | 1.45 | 1.45 | Lost | |
| backtest | Iraklis 1908 FC v Panathinaikos Super League · 1-2 | ★ Panathinaikos win | 67% | 1.28 | 1.28 | Won | |
| backtest | Alanyaspor v Trabzonspor Super Lig · 0-2 | ★ Trabzonspor win | 61% | 1.53 | 1.53 | Won | |
| backtest | Gent v KV Kortrijk Pro League · 1-0 | ★ Gent win | 65% | 1.53 | 1.53 | Won | |
| backtest | Wimborne Town v Crawley Town FA Cup · 2-0 | ★ Crawley Town win | 60% | 1.55 | 1.55 | Lost | |
| backtest | AEK Athens v Levadiakos Super League · 2-1 | ★ AEK Athens win | 77% | 1.25 | 1.25 | Won | |
| backtest | Barcelona W v Madrid CFF W Liga F Moeve · 5-1 | ★ Barcelona W win | 94% | 1.01 | 1.01 | Won | |
| backtest | Cray Wanderers v Stockport County FA Cup · 2-2 | ★ Stockport County win | 77% | 1.22 | 1.22 | Lost | |
| backtest | Slavia Praha v SK Artis Brno Chance Liga · 4-1 | ★ Slavia Praha win | 83% | 1.14 | 1.14 | Won | |
| backtest | Crystal Palace v Liverpool Premier League · 1-3 | Liverpool win | 60% | 1.50 | 1.50 | Won | |
| backtest | Tromsø v Bodø / Glimt Eliteserien · 0-2 | Bodø / Glimt win | 64% | 1.48 | 1.48 | Won |