Uruguay Primera Division · Round 5 ·
Our picks
No prediction was published before kick-off for this match.
Our probabilities
Expected goals 1.15 – 0.77No probabilities yet for this match.
Scoreline model
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Most likely scorelines
NCI 1 – 0 Away15.8%
NCI 0 – 0 Away15.7%
NCI 1 – 1 Away14.0%
NCI 0 – 1 Away10.3%
NCI 2 – 0 Away9.6%
NCI 2 – 1 Away7.5%
Expected goals 1.92. Independent Poisson with a Dixon-Coles low-score correction, strengths from this season's results. The model carries 25% of the final probability; the market consensus carries the rest.
Form
Last matches, all competitions
Nacional
W
W
L
L
W
- League
- 2nd · 13 pts from 7
- Record
- 4-1-2, goals 8:8
- Home
- 3-0-1, goals 6:4
Juventud
W
W
L
D
D
- League
- 5th · 8 pts from 7
- Record
- 2-2-3, goals 8:11
- Away
- 1-2-1, goals 3:3
Head to head
0 previous meetings in our database
These teams have not met in the period we cover.
Primera Division table
Competition page| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 Wanderers
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 15 | D W D W W W |
| 2 |
 Nacional
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 | W L W D L W |
| 3 |
 Deportivo Maldonado
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 12 | D W W D L D |
| 4 |
 Montevideo City Torque
|
7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 | W W L W W L |
| 5 |
 Juventud
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 | L L D L W D |
| 6 |
 Albion
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 | L L W D L D |
| 7 |
 Atlético Progreso
|
7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 | L W L L W L |
| 8 |
 Danubio
|
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | L D D D L D |