Uruguay Primera Division · Round 8 ·
Our picks
No prediction was published before kick-off for this match.
Our probabilities
Expected goals 1.75 – 0.68No probabilities yet for this match.
Scoreline model
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Most likely scorelines
PEN 1 – 0 BOS14.7%
PEN 2 – 0 BOS13.5%
PEN 1 – 1 BOS11.3%
PEN 0 – 0 BOS9.7%
PEN 2 – 1 BOS9.2%
PEN 3 – 0 BOS7.9%
Expected goals 2.42. Independent Poisson with a Dixon-Coles low-score correction, strengths from this season's results. The model carries 25% of the final probability; the market consensus carries the rest.
Form
Last matches, all competitions
Peñarol
W
W
W
L
D
- League
- 1st · 16 pts from 7
- Record
- 5-1-1, goals 12:3
- Home
- 3-0-1, goals 8:2
Boston River
L
L
L
D
W
- League
- 8th · 5 pts from 7
- Record
- 1-2-4, goals 5:10
- Away
- 0-1-3, goals 1:8
Head to head
1 previous meeting in our databasePeñarol wins
1
Draws
0
Boston River wins
0
Primera Division table
Competition page| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Peñarol
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 16 | W L W D W W |
| 2 |
Cerro Largo
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 | W W D D W L |
| 3 |
Racing
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 10 | D D D D L W |
| 4 |
Liverpool
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 | D W D L W D |
| 5 |
Central Español
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 | L W D D L D |
| 6 |
Cerro
|
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 9 | W L L W W L |
| 7 |
Defensor Sporting
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 | L D D D L W |
| 8 |
Boston River
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 | L L D D L L |
Cerro Largo
Racing
Liverpool
Central Español
Cerro
Defensor Sporting