Wanderers vs Cerro Largo prediction, odds and stats (15 Aug 2026)

Uruguay Primera Division · Round 2 · Sat 15 Aug 2026, 22:30

Wanderers 1st, 15 pts

1 – 1Full time · HT 1-0

Cerro Largo 2nd, 11 pts

Our picks

No prediction was published before kick-off for this match.

Our probabilities

Expected goals 1.37 – 0.98

No probabilities yet for this match.

Scoreline model

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	8	5	2	0
1	12	14	6	2	1
2	9	9	4	1	0
3	4	4	2	1	0
4	1	1	1	0	0
5	0	0	0	0	0

Most likely scorelines

MWFC 1 – 1 CLFC13.8%

MWFC 1 – 0 CLFC12.0%

MWFC 0 – 0 CLFC10.5%

MWFC 2 – 0 CLFC8.9%

MWFC 2 – 1 CLFC8.8%

MWFC 0 – 1 CLFC8.3%

Expected goals 2.36. Independent Poisson with a Dixon-Coles low-score correction, strengths from this season's results. The model carries 25% of the final probability; the market consensus carries the rest.

Form

Last matches, all competitions

Wanderers W L W W D

League: 1st · 15 pts from 7
Record: 4-3-0, goals 12:4
Home: 1-2-0, goals 3:1

9 Aug Defensor Sporting v Wanderers · URY CL 0-1 W

5 Aug Peñarol v Wanderers · URY CL 5-1 L

31 Jul Montevideo City Torque v Wanderers · URY CL 0-2 W

17 Jul Nacional v Wanderers · URY CL 1-2 W

5 Mar Racing v Wanderers · SA Copa 0-0 D

Cerro Largo D L W L D

League: 2nd · 11 pts from 7
Record: 3-2-2, goals 7:5
Away: 1-1-2, goals 1:4

7 Aug Cerro Largo v Juventud · URY CL 1-1 D

1 Aug Peñarol v Cerro Largo · URY CL 3-0 L

25 Jul Central Español v Cerro Largo · URY CL 0-1 W

22 Jul Cerro Largo v Central Cordoba SdE · SA Copa 0-3 L

15 Jul Central Cordoba SdE v Cerro Largo · SA Copa 0-0 D

Head to head

0 previous meetings in our database

These teams have not met in the period we cover.

Primera Division table

Competition page

Group 1

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Wanderers	7	4	3	0	12	4	+8	15	D W D W W W
2	Nacional	7	4	1	2	8	8	0	13	W L W D L W
3	Deportivo Maldonado	7	3	3	1	12	6	+6	12	D W W D L D
4	Montevideo City Torque	7	4	0	3	11	11	0	12	W W L W W L
5	Juventud	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8	L L D L W D
6	Albion	7	1	3	3	6	8	-2	6	L L W D L D
7	Atlético Progreso	7	2	0	5	6	11	-5	6	L W L L W L
8	Danubio	7	0	4	3	5	9	-4	4	L D D D L D

Group 2

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Peñarol	7	5	1	1	12	3	+9	16	W L W D W W
2	Cerro Largo	7	3	2	2	7	5	+2	11	W W D D W L
3	Racing	7	2	4	1	4	3	+1	10	D D D D L W
4	Liverpool	7	2	3	2	5	5	0	9	D W D L W D
5	Central Español	7	2	3	2	4	4	0	9	L W D D L D
6	Cerro	7	3	0	4	6	10	-4	9	W L L W W L
7	Defensor Sporting	7	1	3	3	6	9	-3	6	L D D D L W
8	Boston River	7	1	2	4	5	10	-5	5	L L D D L L